City at 60% vs Brighton: the market trusts the table, the head-to-head says be careful
Manchester City are priced as clear favourites at home, but Brighton have won two of the last six meetings and drew 2-2 with City in the League Cup this week.
Bologna vs Monza: 22 Goals Conceded in 9 Games Weigh Heavily on the Visitors
Monza have shipped 22 goals in Serie A and come in off a 4-1 home defeat to Napoli. Bologna beat Milan 4-2 yesterday.
Chelsea priced as favourites against a Manchester United side that keeps conceding
The market gives Chelsea 53% to beat Manchester United, and the table and recent form back it. The head-to-head record points the other way.
Levante v Atletico Madrid: the table says mismatch, the home history says keep watching
Second against 14th, 8 wins from 10 against Levante's 2, and a defence that has conceded 2 goals in its last 5. The case for Atletico is strong, but Levante's recent home scorelines and the head-to-head add some texture.
Imperial go from coin flip to 97% in a day against QUINTESSÊNCIA
The market has moved 46 points in 24 hours on the Group B clash at the Gamers Club Masters. What was an even contest is now close to a one-sided one.
Juventus vs Napoli: Market Cuts Juve to 42%, Overreaction or Justified Doubt?
After the 2-0 defeat at Genoa, the "Yes" price on a Juventus win has dropped 11 points in 24 hours. The table, recent form and head-to-head record suggest the cut has some basis, but the contest is still wide open.
Djokovic's Finals Odds Climb to 27%, but "No" Still Holds 73%
The "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" market is rethinking Novak Djokovic's chances: in 24 hours, "Yes" has gained 8 points.
Genoa 2-0 Juventus: the Grifone end a hoodoo spanning 5 previous meetings
Juventus had not lost any of the previous 5 head-to-heads, but Genoa won 2-0 and now sit 13th with 10 points.
Monza 1-4 Napoli: a Defence Shipping 22 Goals Can't Hold
Napoli win 4-1 at Monza to move up to sixth on 14 points. The hosts sit 16th on 7: the defensive numbers and the head-to-head record explain a one-sided night.
Manchester City relegation market sheds 10 points in a day
The "Yes" price on City going down in 2026-27 falls to 35% from 44.5% 24 hours earlier. It is still a number few would have expected to see.
Bologna hit Milan for 4 at San Siro: final score 2-4
In their last 5 meetings, the Rossoblù had never scored more than 2 against the Rossoneri. This time they got double that.
Parma 0-0 Udinese: Two Sides With Identical Records, and Neither Can Find a Way Out
The goalless draw leaves both clubs on 4 points from 8 games, sitting between 17th and 19th place. For two attacks in a rut, it's a point that barely moves the needle.
Venezia 0-2 Inter: Nerazzurri move second on 22 points, Venezia stay bottom
5 previous meetings, 5 Inter wins. Another one arrives in Venice, with a clean sheet.
Villarreal host Espanyol with table, form and history on their side
10th against 18th, 6 wins from 6 in the head-to-head, and a visitor with 4 defeats in its last 5: the La Liga file on Villarreal-Espanyol.
Utebo's win price collapses by 20.5 points in a day
The market gave Utebo FC a 32% chance of beating CE Sabadell FC 24 hours ago. Today, on match day, it gives them 11.5%.
Wolfsburg's win price leaps 44.5 points in a day to 93.5%
The market on VfL Wolfsburg beating Feyenoord Rotterdam has gone from a coin flip to near-certainty in 24 hours, on matchday itself.
PSV's win price collapses from 48.5% to 20% on matchday
The market on PSV Eindhoven beating Eintracht Frankfurt has shed 28.5 points in 24 hours. Kick-off is at 18:00 UTC today.
Roma 4-2 Cagliari: Giallorossi stay unbeaten and climb to 21 points
4 goals scored, 2 conceded: Roma sit 3rd on 21 points after 9 games without defeat. 9th-placed Cagliari found the net, but it wasn't enough.
Torino 1-3 Como: Como win in Turin again, and the head-to-head record said they would
After last season's 6-0 and 5-1, Como win 3-1 away at Torino to move up to 20 points and 4th place. Torino stay 8th on 13.
Sevilla's win price jumps 20.5 points to 92.5%
The "Yes" on a Sevilla win against AD Sporting Hortaleza has climbed 20.5 points in 24 hours, from 72% to 92.5%.
Las Palmas jump 13 points in a day as the market backs them at Alcalá
The "Yes" on a Las Palmas win has moved from 51% to 64% in 24 hours, ahead of tonight's kickoff against RSD Alcalá.
Courmayeur: Market Backs Blinkova, Now 65.5% Against Galfi
In 24 hours, Anna Blinkova's win probability against Dalma Galfi has climbed 9.5 points: yesterday she was at 56%, today the market puts her at 65.5%.
Deportivo's win price rockets to 92.5% in a single day
The market on RC Deportivo A Coruña beating Auriense has gained 35.5 points in 24 hours, from 57% to 92.5%.
Fiorentina favourites against Atalanta, but the table tells another story
3 bookmakers put the home win first, with Fiorentina 18th in the table and on 3 straight defeats. The numbers on the pitch point the other way.
Frosinone v Lecce: a 23% draw price, yet Lecce haven't drawn once — 0 draws in 8 games
Frosinone are 57% favourites with the bookmakers and 59% on the prediction market. The draw price looks generous: Lecce have 0 draws in the league, Frosinone have 2.